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Jerome Powell owes us an explanation. The Federal Reserve chairman this week confirmed what investors already had guessed: Surprisingly persistent inflation is dissuading the Fed from cutting its short-term policy rate as soon and perhaps as quickly as Wall Street had hoped.It’s the right call. The Fed committed its worst error in 40 years when it acted far too slowly to tame inflation following the pandemic. Its institutional credibility—on which hangs a lot in a fiat-money system—now depends on Mr. Powell’s success in suppressing that inflation.As recently as December, with consumer-price inflation about 4% and the Fed’s preferred personal-consumption-expenditure inflation rate at around 3% (both excluding food and energy), central-bank officials signaled they were on track for at least three rate cuts this year.The Fed believed it had set inflation on a permanent glide path toward its 2% target.The central bank believes it can talk markets into doing what it wants by telegraphing what the Fed plans to do. The primary model, known as FRBUS is flawed. deeply flawed. It doesn’t adequately account for the effects of fiscal policy, such as the $10 trillion in cumulative deficit spending since the start of 2020, constituting subsidies and other expenditures Congress and successive administrations pumped into the economy. The model didn’t predict the inflationary consumption explosion of that era, and probably has way overstated the (largely illusory) benefits of government infrastructure spending for future productivity and economic growth. The model chronically misunderstands the labor market, and overestimates the effect of a tight labor market on inflation.
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WhatsApp, Signal and Telegram among apps cut from iPhone app store to comply with censorship demandChina ordered China ordered Apple to remove some of the world’s most popular chat messaging apps from its app store in the country, the latest example of censorship demands on the iPhone seller in the company’s second-biggest market.WhatsApp and Threads as well as messaging platforms Signal and Telegram were taken off the Chinese App Store Friday. Apple said it was told to remove certain apps because of national security concerns, without specifying which.These messaging apps, which allow users to exchange messages and share files individually and in large groups, combined have around three billion users globally. They can only be accessed in China through virtual private networks that take users outside China’s Great Firewall, but are still commonly used.Beijing has often viewed such platforms with caution, concerned that these apps could be used by its citizens to spread negative content and cause social unrest. Much of the news China censors at home often makes it beyond the Great Firewall through such channels. The Cyberspace Administration of China asked Apple to remove WhatsApp and Threads from the App Store because both contain political content that includes problematic mentions of the Chinese president, according to a person familiar with the matter. The Apple spokesperson said that wasn’t part of the reasoning.The move shrinks the number of foreign chat apps Chinese internet users can use to communicate with those outside of the country, a further tightening of internet controls by Beijing, which is sensitive to uncensored information circulating.Tech tensions between the U.S. and China are already running high. Congress is fast-tracking a bipartisan effort to crack down on TikTok that could lead to passage of a law this month forcing its Chinese parent to sell the popular video-sharing app in the U.S. or face a ban.Collectively, Instagram, X, Facebook, YouTube and WhatsApp have been downloaded from Apple’s app store more than 170 million times in China over the past decade, according to estimates by market intelligence firm Sensor Tower. Apps such as X were key to disseminating information and videos of protests against Covid rules in China that erupted in late 2022.
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India has commenced its colossal general election, a six-week democratic exercise that stands as the largest in the world. With nearly 970 million eligible voters, the nation is at a pivotal moment in its political history. Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the face of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and a figure synonymous with Hindu nationalism, is vying for an unprecedented third term in office. The election is not just a test of Modi's enduring appeal but also a referendum on the BJP's governance, particularly its handling of economic growth, job creation, and the promotion of Hindu pride.As the polls opened, the anticipation and excitement among the electorate were palpable. Modi, leveraging a mix of developmental promises and nationalist rhetoric, has managed to galvanize a significant portion of the Indian populace. His campaign has skillfully navigated the complex tapestry of Indian politics, appealing to both the aspirations and the cultural sentiments of the voters. The opposition, fragmented and beleaguered, faces an uphill battle in mounting a credible challenge to Modi's juggernaut.The election's significance extends beyond the immediate political fortunes of the contenders. It is a litmus test for Indian democracy, showcasing the nation's ability to conduct free and fair elections on an unprecedented scale. Moreover, the outcome will have profound implications for India's social fabric, its economic trajectory, and its position on the global stage. A victory for Modi would likely mean a continuation of policies aimed at bolstering Hindu identity and assertive foreign policy stances.Critics, however, express concern over the divisive nature of the campaign and the potential erosion of secular principles enshrined in the Indian constitution. The election unfolds against a backdrop of heightened nationalism, with Modi and the BJP accused of marginalizing minority communities and stifling dissent. The world watches closely as India decides its future, balancing between its aspirations for economic prosperity and the preservation of its pluralistic ethos.As the voting process unfolds over the coming weeks, the eyes of the world remain fixed on India. The nation's choice will not only shape its own destiny but also send a message about the resilience of democracy in the face of rising authoritarian tendencies globally. Modi's quest for a third term is more than a political campaign; it is a moment of reckoning for the world's largest democracy.
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Israeli missiles have hit a site in Iran, according to the US broadcaster ABC News, which cited an unnamed senior US official.The Iranian state television reported explosions in Isfahan, as air defences were activated and flights across several areas including Tehran and Isfahan were suspended.There were no reports of casualties. Nor was there an official response from Iran.Israel promised to respond after Iran last Saturday launched a barrage of drones and missiles on the country, after a suspected Israeli strike on Iran’s consulate compound in Damascus killed a high-ranking commander.There have also been reports of explosions in Syria and Iraq.The United States and a number of European countries had been calling on Israel not to respond to the Iranian attack.Isfahan is considered a strategically important city and one that is host to several important sites, including military research and development sites, as well as bases. The nearby city of Natanz is the location of one of Iran’s nuclear enrichment sites.Commercial flights began diverting their routes early on Friday morning over western Iran without explanation as the semi-official Fars news agency in Iran said there had been “explosions” heard over the city of Isfahan.
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In a dramatic twist of political and legal narratives, the ongoing criminal trial of former President Donald Trump has become a focal point of contention between him and current President Joe Biden. Trump, facing charges in an unprecedented case, has vehemently argued that it is Biden who 'should be in jail' and 'on trial,' pointing fingers at the Biden administration for what he perceives as grave injustices. His comments came as he addressed the media, emphasizing the global attention on the New York case against him, suggesting it tarnishes the image of American democracy.Meanwhile, President Biden, seemingly unphased by the accusations, took a lighter approach during a campaign swing in Pennsylvania. Speaking to a crowd at a United Steelworkers union event, Biden made a quip about Trump being 'busy right now,' a clear jab at his legal troubles. This exchange highlights the deepening rift between the two political figures, underscoring the polarized nature of current American politics.Adding another layer to the saga, America First Legal, a conservative-leaning organization, has initiated a lawsuit against the Biden administration. The lawsuit alleges illegal destruction of documents that could potentially impact Trump's trial in Florida, suggesting a complex web of legal and political maneuvers.The back-and-forth between Trump and Biden, set against the backdrop of legal battles and allegations, paints a vivid picture of the challenges facing American democracy. As both sides of the political spectrum mobilize, the implications of these events reach far beyond the courtroom, hinting at the underlying tensions that continue to shape the political landscape in the United States.As the world watches, the unfolding drama between Trump and Biden not only captivates but also raises questions about the future of political discourse and accountability in America. With each development, the nation is reminded of the enduring impact of these high-profile clashes on the fabric of American society.
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Here is a list of influential tweets promoting informed voting.
Educate yourself and make your OWN decision! http://t.co/yMmsYn5n
— Kim Kardashian (@KimKardashian) September 7, 2012
Helpful if u don't know what candidates you agree with most. https://t.co/Im12eem17o
— Sarah Silverman (@SarahKSilverman) February 15, 2016
Don't be lazy- look **** up if ur not sure what it is!
Just took the political issues quiz at http://t.co/pZ6yi3if. http://t.co/ZWBYSEMi -- Not at all surprised I'm 95% w Gary Johnson.
— ʎǝɹɐƆ ʍǝɹᗡ (@DrewFromTV) October 28, 2012
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I Side With is a site that surveys you on political issues & picks the presidential candidate that is right for you! http://t.co/qegjCKD1
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— Rand Fishkin (follow @randderuiter on Threads) (@randfish) September 1, 2012
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I side 91% with Jill Stein... http://t.co/RPt53b1V
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